Polymarket profits concentrated as top 3.14 percent take more than 30 percent

A study finds Polymarket’s predictive accuracy comes from a small group of better-informed traders rather than the collective intelligence of many users. The Block Crypto reported on April 26 that a paper analysing all Polymarket trading from 2023 to 2025 concluded the platform’s accuracy reflects the ‘wisdom of an informed few,’ not the ‘wisdom of crowds.’

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